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WEEK 2-4 AHEAD OUTLOOK
MONTH 1-3 AHEAD
SEASON 1-3 AHEAD
ENSO OUTLOOK
Week 2-4 Ahead
Europe Week 2-4 Outlook: Snowy Europe; Coldest Western Europe December since 2010.
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: Mostly dry and hot across the Argentina drought area.
U.S. Week 2-4 Outlook: Overall trend is colder due to blocking pattern.
Month 1-3 Ahead
South America Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Argentina drought strengthens.
U.S. Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Colder short-term forecasts into the East force a December update.
Europe Month 1-3 Outlook: Marginally mild forecast for winter in Europe. However, the forecast trend is colder especially if snowy.
Russia Month 1-3 Outlook: Mild start to the cold season but JAN/FEB go cold!
Australia Month 1-3 Outlook: Forecast trends cooler/wetter (East) for Q4/2022.
South/East Asia Month 1-3 Outlook: Unusually wet India/Southeast Asia into mid-autumn. Cold risk for China in December.
Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlooks (2100 GMT Third WED of each month)
South America Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Argentina drought strengthens. Dry climate migrates into Brazil during meteorological autumn.
U.S. Season 1-4 Outlook: La Nina ending increases wet weather risk to Texas and vicinity.
Europe/Western Russia Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook: Cold risk for Europe during winter is increasing.
Australia Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Primary concern is wet in the East. Not expecting important drought risk. Climate is generally cooler than normal.
ENSO Outlook
December 2022 Monthly ENSO Forecast: La Nina a little weaker during Nov-22; El Nino later 2023
ENSO Weekly Diagnostics Report: La Nina continues BUT signs of weakening have arrived. Models seeing El Nino for mid-to-late 2023 with increasing strength.
Madden Julian Oscillation Update: MJO rolls across Pacific toward Atlantic to ignite Mid-south/Brazil heavy rains.
GLOBAL AGRICULTURE ALERT
SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK
RESEARCH
TROPICS
Global Agricultural Alert
U.S. Medium-range Forecast: Stormy pattern invites cold mid-to-late December.
AG Market Hot Spot: Argentina heat outweighs scattered thunderstorms as drought strengthens.
Daily Feature: Europe Week 2-4 Outlook
U.S. 16-20-Day Extended-range Outlook
Global AG Market Weather/Climate ALERT PPTX Presentation
AG Market Early ALERT: The changing 2023 climate. Brazil rains and Europe snow and cold.
AG Market Sunday Outlook: Heavy rain Mid-south U.S. this week; Europe trends colder.
Soil Moisture Outlook
Global Soil Moisture 3-Month Observations and Forecast
U.S. Soil Moisture Outlook
Research
AG Market Weather/Climate Research: Forecast confidence for a cold late winter in the Central U.S. including Texas increases.
Argentina Marine Heat Wave Influencing South America Climate
Tropics
North Atlantic Basin 2022 Tropical Cyclone Season Summary
Revised 2022 Tropical Cyclone Season Forecast for Much Lower Amount
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