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Breaking The String of Consecutive Weeks of Above Normal Weekly HDD for the U.S.

Discussion: While most weeks of meteorological winter registered warmer-than-normal gas home heating population weight HDD values Mach to mid-April was colder than normal for 6 consecutive weeks (Fig. 1). The 4-week forecast indicates a more temperate U.S. climate as the cold streak ends. Too early for CDD forecasts to impact prices although the Climate Impact 4-week observation/4-week forecast begins and indicates a warmer change since late last week (Fig. 2).

Fig. 1: The last 9 weeks observed of U.S. gas home heating population weight HDD anomalies plus the 4-week forecast.

Fig. 2: 4-week observed and 4-week forecast of U.S. gas population weight CDD.