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07/31/2018, 12:23 pm EDT

Week 2-4 Outlook: Russia

Week 2 Ahead: August 5-11, 2018 Comment: An upper trough brings showery/cool conditions to West-central Russia, a cooler change. Not all models agree. The Black Sea region is dry but the anomalous warmth of last week is suppressed. Week 3 Ahead: August 12-18, 2018 Comment: The upper trough is weaker but continues to produce showers/cool temperatures across West-central Russia while Black Sea region is dry and marginally warmer than normal. Week 4 Ahead: August 19-25, 2018 Comment: Below average forecast confidence yields a cool pattern extending toward Black Sea region. Temperature anomalies/precipitation amount July 22-28, 2018 Comment: Another very warm week across Western Russia and the Black Sea region despite presence of some shower activity mostly in northern Ukraine.