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WEEK 2-4 AHEAD OUTLOOK
MONTH 1-3 AHEAD
SEASON 1-3 AHEAD
ENSO OUTLOOK
Week 2-4 Ahead
South America Week 2-4 Outlook: The Brazil drought area is looking wetter for the last third of December.
Australia Week 2-4 Outlook: Strongest heat and dryness across Western Australia.
North America Week 2-4 Outlook: Staying mild through December.
Europe/Western Russia Week 2-4 Outlook: Western Russia (and at times Europe) unable to shake cold risk. Ukraine mostly cold and snowy.
China Week 2-4 Outlook: Arctic air pours into China.
Month 1-3 Ahead
U.S. Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Warm start to winter but colder/snowy weather ahead for JAN/FEB.
Europe/Western Russia Month 1-3 Outlook: Colder adjustments, especially for Western Russia. Major storm pattern Black Sea region – heavy snows!
Australia Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Widespread anomalous heat for summer ahead; Driest climate west and northwest continent.
South America Month 1-3 Ahead Outlook: Central/East-central Brazil targeted for drought through mid-summer while Argentina drought eases.
Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlooks (2100 GMT Third WED of each month)
South America Season 1-3 Ahead: Central Brazil drought ahead, wet climate backs into Northeast Argentina.
North America Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook: Winter trend is colder/more snow; El Nino climate lingers into spring; Next summer is hot Central/East.
Australia Season 1-3 Ahead Outlook: +IOD/El Nino/MHW’s strongly favor an emerging Australian drought ahead!
Europe/Western Russia Season 1-3 Ahead Climate Outlook
ENSO Outlook
Weekly ENSO Diagnostics Report: The upper ocean heat increasing east of Dateline.
November 2023 Indian Ocean Dipole Outlook
Madden Julian Oscillation Becomes Active And Transient
November 2023 ENSO Outlook for 2023-24
GLOBAL AGRICULTURE ALERT
SOIL MOISTURE OUTLOOK
RESEARCH
TROPICS
Global Agricultural Alert
AG Market Global Weather/Climate PPTX Presentation
U.S. Medium-range Forecast: MJO influence warms the already warm medium-range forecast.
AG Market Hot Spot: Brazil drought accelerates next 10 days; wet period follows.
Daily Feature: Once again, November 2023 snow cover was greater than normal.
Early AG Market Alert: Wetter pattern change heading for Central Brazil!
AG Market Sunday Global Weather/Climate Alert
AG Market Hot Spots: Frigid Russia!
Soil Moisture Outlook
December 2023 Global Soil Moisture 3-Month Trend and Forecast
U.S. Soil Moisture Outlook: Rainfall deluge ahead for Texas as drought begins to ease.
Research
Energy Daily Report: Introducing a new index to help forecast “polar vortex” arctic air episodes…Stratospheric downward wave reflection events.
AG Market Weather/Climate Research: Despite Strong El Nino Nino34 SSTA Signature, Multivariate ENSO Index Shifts Back to Neutral ENSO Phase
Tropics
North Atlantic Basin 2023 Season Review And 2024 Initial Forecast