July 2025 - Page 6 of 11 - Climate Impact Company

News

07/17/2025, 9:18 am EDT

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07/17/2025, 9:18 am EDT

New NOAA Long-lead Climate Forecasts Implicate Southeast U.S. for Tropical Cyclone Risk

NOAA/CPC has updated their monthly long-lead probabilistic temperature and precipitation forecasts. Additionally, a new Seasonal Drought Forecast is issued. Of note, is the precipitation outlook for both August and AUG/SEP/OCT. The outlooks indicate a high probability of above normal rainfall in the Southeast U.S. The August probability forecast for above normal rainfall in the Southeast U.S. is exceptionally confident.

07/17/2025, 6:04 am EDT

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07/17/2025, 6:04 am EDT

Midwest/Central U.S. Heat Wave!

93L moves inland over Louisiana today unloading 3-6 inches of rain across the coastal region. A Flood Watch covers the entire southern half of Louisiana. The latent heat release of the stagnant convection over the next 2-3 days is released into the middle atmosphere to the north and forces a high-pressure area to build. The high pressure expands westward while continuing to strengthen causing a late July massive heatwave!

07/15/2025, 4:59 am EDT

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07/15/2025, 4:59 am EDT

Issuing Heat Alert for Central/South-central U.S. Late July

Intense heat featuring widespread risk of >100F is indicated for the southern ½ to 2/3 of the U.S. into early August. The hardest hit is the Dallas to Kansas City to Atlanta triangle. The entire area is dry enhancing the heat. There is general agreement with other models (GFS ENS and AI) except for CFS V2 which is farther west with the upper ridge.

07/15/2025, 4:54 am EDT

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07/15/2025, 4:54 am EDT

Low Pressure Drifting Toward 86-88F Water Temperatures Northern Gulf Later This Week

Despite proximity to land, a westward drifting low pressure area across the northern Gulf of Mexico where SST is 86-88F guarantees development of a rainstorm targeting Louisiana. Potential for tropical storm force wind near the coast, especially southeast Louisiana is likely.