News
03/25/2024, 10:34 am EDT

El Nino Hanging On Despite Cooling Subsurface

Most instructive regarding ENSO is the current upper ocean heat analysis and comparison with one month ago. Note that the most recent analysis yields a sharp cool (blue) anomaly in the eastern equatorial Pacific off the northwest coast of South America. Westward toward the Dateline, an area of shallow anomalous warmth lingers able to sustain El Nino. Note the one-month trend is steadily cooler favoring weakening of El Nino and increasing risk of following La Nina.
03/25/2024, 6:05 am EDT

Delek Energy 3-Week Extreme Temperature Outlook

03/25/2024, 6:02 am EDT

Australia Climate Likely to Shift Back into Wetter Regime of Early Decade

The Australia season 1-4 ahead outlook is update. The forecast is based primarily on an expected phase change of both the ENSO and IOD regimes plus the influence of marine heat waves on climate. The overall theme of the outlook is wetter as the 2020-22 wet climate across much of Australia returns for 2024.
03/19/2024, 12:48 pm EDT

Hotter Than Normal MAY-SEP U.S. CDD Forecasts

The preliminary U.S. population weight monthly CDD anomaly forecast for April through October 2024 indicates a similar pattern to the past 3 years: Near normal early in the season, increasing anomalous heat through mid-season which can ease slightly late in the season.